For now, the 10-year U.S. Treasury remains in positive territory, though well below the long-term average yield of 6.1 percent since 1961. The yield has fallen to 1.7 percent from 2.8 percent in January, an indication that bond investors do not share the president’s optimism about the economy.
“Our country is doing fantastically well,” Trump said Aug. 9. “You look at Europe; they’ve got problems. In fact, the biggest problem we have is the fact that a lot of other — continents, frankly — but a lot of other countries are not doing well.”
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二代5%
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Some analysts say the U.S. bond market will never go negative. But others see a much more perilous scenario:
The U.S.-China trade war festers, chilling global trade and slowing growth worldwide. Economic weakness infects the United States, prompting the Fed to slash rates to zero and restart its own program of asset purchases.
